John Brawley wrote:Chad Capeland wrote:rick.lang wrote:Rushes would approach a petabyte! And then add all the backups and edit versions. Serious data requiring serious infrastructure to share that data with all the workstations.
Yeah, costs will go up, but any storage infrastucture that can handle 54TB can handle 540TB.
Not that I've ever seen. The costs scale, you don't just "add more drives"
I'm not saying they don't go up. They do. I'm saying they go up
sub-linearly. As you scale up, the cost per TB goes way down. And the total cost go up in an easily calculated way. And yes, with scalable storage you add more drives. You don't forklift a system because you went from 24fps to 60fps. For your example of 54TB -> 540TB, you'd be looking at what, $55K? And 8-12U of space? A 32 port 10Gb switch with NICs is what, $20K? So you're looking at $75K in capital expenses (less if you lease) to get 10x the storage and 10x the bandwidth? What is $75K in CapEX in relation to the total budget for the series? Not just for post, for the whole budget, including marketing?
John Brawley wrote:You're arguing that quadrupling the data (4K) then doubling it again (60 fps) won't cost a commensurate amount extra to handle and that the big end of town will just wear it anyway ?
Commensurate? No, unless you are looking only at the IT costs. And even then, it's sub-linear because your other expenses don't go up by the same amount. You don't hire 10x more IT staff or use 10x more keyboards.
John Brawley wrote:You know most big end film VFX shots are still at 2K right ?
By current DCI standards, you can be HFR or 4K, but not both at the same time. So you're looking at a 4x or a 2.5x increase in costs, not a 10x. So using what films "still" are, it's not even as severe of an upgrade. Now we're talking a $20K upgrade. Future DCI specs, however, are expected to change. And UHDTV standards nearly everywhere they are being developed are at least 2160 @ 50Hz. I doubt cinemas will allow broadcast TV to be better for very long.
John Brawley wrote:I think you underestimate how much costs are really watched by those making content. And it's very much connected to want. If consumers won't notice or don't notice or don't want it, then they won't do it.
Oh, I have. I've been through this fight before. I've gone over these numbers before with a couple major studios, and they're afraid of doing anything different, even if you can point out how little affect it has on their costs. Heck, they're afraid of HDR costs... Like really? You think
that's going to put this movie in the red? You can pay your leading actor $25M, but you can't take your already high dynamic range movie and you know, LEAVE it high dynamic range? Studios and film finance people are terrified of technology. They're totally spooked. No one wants to take a risk anymore. Only a few directors are totally independent enough to take the risks themselves. Cameron can say "we're doing this" and he can because he's a sure thing and he's bankrolling much of it himself anyway. Jackson paid for HFR himself. But most directors, even the guys with the Academy Awards, are worried about losing their movie entirely, so they let the studios peel off all the risk.
John Brawley wrote:Let's look at how many films have ACTUALLY shot 3D lately....
What way do you think they MOSTLY decide to go...? Even at the tens of millions budget stage.
S3D, shot native or not, DOES affect a lot of the production. It changes so much of what you can shoot and it makes every shot more complex. I never said S3D was cheap. It isn't. And the cost of it is slippery. It's hard to know exactly how much more that cost will be. But 4K and HFR and HDR? Those are all REALLY easy to calculate and relatively cheap.
John Brawley wrote:You can "say" that it doesn't cost more, but post houses will always charge a premium for a 4K pipeline and storage. It takes them longer. It's more time and work. It costs.
I can say it because I've tried it.
Hardest part was getting a projector set up to do 4K @ 120. Some things are harder and some are easier. Overall it costs more, but it's not 2.5x more or 10x more. It was closer to .1x more, but the costs have come down recently to the point where I'd expect it to be maybe .05x more.